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Attendance: 11,209
Millwall logo
Championship | Gameweek 35
Feb 26, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Birmingham logo

0-0

FT

Preview: Millwall vs. Birmingham City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews the Championship clash between Millwall and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Millwall host Birmingham City at The Den on Wednesday as both clubs look to consolidate in mid-table and make a late charge towards the playoff places.

The pair sit 11th and 14th in the Championship table, respectively, and have a sizeable cushion between themselves and the relegation zone, but also have plenty of ground to make up on the top six.


Match preview

Birmingham City players celebrate after Bristol City's Andreas Weimann scored an own goal and the second goal for Birmingham City on February 7, 2020© Reuters

Millwall's excellent form between November and mid-January saw them surge into playoff contention, but their momentum has recently given way to a poor patch.

Gary Rowett's side have won just once in their last seven games across all competitions - one in six in the league - and have slipped seven points off the playoff places.

The reverse fixture at St. Andrew's in November saw the points shared after a 1-1 draw, but Millwall need wins if they are to close the gap that is starting to open up.

Millwall's last outing saw them beaten 1-0 by Wigan Athletic, who are in the relegation zone, in a damaging defeat that was indicative of the low confidence in Rowett's squad at present.

Birmingham, on the other hand, are flying at the moment. The Blues find themselves unbeaten in 11 games across all competitions, with eight of those games coming in the Championship.

Rowett's former employers are now managed by Pep Clotet, who has instilled an attractive brand of football that has seen Birmingham score in 11 consecutive league games.

However, they have managed just one clean sheet in that run and have recorded only six across all competitions so far this term.

Their last outing - a six-goal thriller that ended in a 3-3 draw against Sheffield Wednesday - encapsulates their philosophy this season under the Spaniard.

Millwall Championship form: LDLDWL

Birmingham City Championship form: DWWWDD
Birmingham City form (all competitions): WWWWDD


Team News

Millwall boss Gary Rowett on February 15, 2020© Reuters

Millwall manager Rowett has just a trio of players unavailable for selection ahead of Birmingham's visit to The Den.

Shaun Williams, Frank Fielding and Ben Thompson are all sidelined with injury and are not expected back for some time.

Birmingham head coach Clotet has the same number of players missing as he prepares his squad for a trip to London.

Josh McEachran is out for the rest of the campaign after sustaining an ACL injury and is aiming to return in November.

Meanwhile, Kerim Mrabti and Jacques Maghoma are both out, but should be returning within the next few weeks.

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Hutchinson, Pearce, Cooper; Romeo, Molumby, Woods, M. Wallace; J. Wallace, Bradshaw, Bodvarsson

Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Camp; Colin, Roberts, Clarke-Salter, Pedersen; Bela, Gardner, Sunjic, Bellingham; Hogan, Jutkiewicz


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Millwall 0-1 Birmingham City

Millwall are strong at home, but Birmingham seem to have clicked under Clotet and could further extend their unbeaten run in London with a narrow victory.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%).


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Millwall boss Gary Rowett on February 15, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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