Major League Soccer

May 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
1 - 0
Houston

Driussi (87')
Cascante (31'), Gallagher (90'), Fodrey (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dorsey (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Austin
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 1-2 Houston
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Austin FC 2-1 Houston Dynamo

Austin knows they have to quickly bounce back from defeat in their last match and they will feel this is a perfect opportunity for that against a side they have beaten in all the four times they have hosted this fixture. We expect a home win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Austin FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Austin FC.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Houston Dynamo
43.98% ( -0.64)	24.83% ( -0.45)	31.19% ( 1.08)

Both teams to score 56.85% (

2.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.8% (

2.42)

46.2% (

-2.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.51% (

2.24)

68.49% (

-2.24)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.94% (

0.72)

21.06% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.13% (

1.12)

53.87% (

-1.12)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

1.94)

27.98% (

-1.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.38% (

2.41)

63.62% (

-2.41)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 43.98%

Houston Dynamo 31.19%

Draw 24.83%

Austin FC	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.76) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.98%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.63) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.83%	0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.19%