Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.