Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
64.49% (![]() | 19.22% (![]() | 16.29% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.27% (![]() | 36.73% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.11% (![]() | 58.9% (![]() |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.25% (![]() | 10.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.27% (![]() | 34.73% (![]() |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.34% (![]() | 35.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.56% (![]() | 72.44% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 9.83% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.54% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.31% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.09% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.76% Total : 64.49% | 1-1 @ 8.82% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.22% | 1-2 @ 4.55% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 2.45% Total : 16.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
2 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
4 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
5 | DC United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Orlando City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
13 | New England RevolutionNew England | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
14 | Toronto | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 |
2 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
5 | St Louis City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
7 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Dallas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Houston DynamoHouston | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
13 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
15 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |