NY City1 - 0Philadelphia
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, April 6 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
for
Sunday, April 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
for
We said: New York City FC 2-1 Philadelphia Union
Despite the Pigeons' struggling to close out games, we expect to see a highly motivated Matt Freese determined to make a statement, having served as backup to Blake for several years in Philly. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.9%) and 1-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
52.73% ( -0.59) | 21.49% ( -0.01) | 25.78% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 64.68% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.88% ( 0.63) | 34.12% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44% ( 0.7) | 56% ( -0.71) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.8% ( 0.03) | 13.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.07% ( 0.07) | 39.93% ( -0.07) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( 0.76) | 25.48% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.68% ( 1.03) | 60.32% ( -1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.21)1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 52.73% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.49% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.78% |
