Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.