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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Crewe Alexandra has a probability of 31.02% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win is 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.29%).
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
43.13% ( 0.14) | 25.85% ( -0.14) | 31.02% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.41% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.35% ( 0.57) | 50.65% ( -0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.44% ( 0.5) | 72.56% ( -0.51) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( 0.32) | 23.35% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.68% ( 0.46) | 57.32% ( -0.47) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.68% ( 0.28) | 30.32% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.49% ( 0.34) | 66.51% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.12% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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