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World Cup
Paraguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Argentina national football team

Paraguay
2 - 1
Argentina

Sanabria (19'), Alderete (47')
Alderete (33'), Cubas (49'), Pitta (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martinez (11')
Otamendi (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for their World Cup qualifying clash away to Paraguay on Thursday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Venezuela
Wednesday, October 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina101422
2Colombia10719
3Uruguay10716
4Brazil10616
5Ecuador10216
6Paraguay10013
7Bolivia10-1012
8Venezuela10-211
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

Argentina

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 6-0 Bolivia
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina101422
2Colombia10719
3Uruguay10716
4Brazil10616
5Ecuador10216
6Paraguay10013
7Bolivia10-1012
8Venezuela10-211
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

We said: Paraguay 0-0 Argentina

 Paraguay will set out their stall early on to go for a 0-0 draw here and chase a seventh clean sheet in 11 qualifiers, and their brilliant recent home form suggests they are capable. Argentina will know that they only need a few more points to progress to the finals, and a draw would not be a bad result for them either at a venue where they have only won once since 1997, ahead of a very enticing home clash with Peru next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Paraguay win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
ParaguayDrawArgentina
18.97% (-0.175 -0.18) 24.58% (1.011 1.01) 56.45% (-0.832 -0.83)
Both teams to score 45.5% (-3.127 -3.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (-4.028 -4.03)55.17% (4.033 4.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (-3.422 -3.42)76.41% (3.425 3.43)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.5% (-2.545 -2.54)43.5% (2.549 2.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.29% (-2.193 -2.19)79.71% (2.198 2.2)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (-1.82 -1.82)19.46% (1.824 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.69% (-3.07 -3.07)51.31% (3.074 3.07)
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 18.97%
    Argentina 56.44%
    Draw 24.57%
ParaguayDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.599 0.6)
2-1 @ 4.8% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-0 @ 2.93% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.33% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.09% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 18.97%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 8.46% (1.243 1.24)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.404 -0.4)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 13.85% (1.32 1.32)
0-2 @ 11.34% (0.47 0.47)
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.268 -0.27)
0-3 @ 6.19% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.465 -0.47)
0-4 @ 2.53% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.363 -0.36)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.328 -0.33)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 56.44%

How you voted: Paraguay vs Argentina

Paraguay
11.7%
Draw
17.6%
Argentina
70.7%
188
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2023 12am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Paraguay
Otamendi (3')
Fernandez (7')

Alonso (21'), Bareiro (50')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2021 12am
Group Stage
Paraguay
0-0
Argentina
Villasanti (21'), Alonso (65')
> Preview
Jun 22, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Paraguay
> Preview
Nov 13, 2020 12am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-1
Paraguay
De Paul (45'), Montiel (78')
Romero (30'), Cardozo (47'), Perez (76'), Almiron (90+1')
> Preview
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Group Stage
Argentina
1-1
Paraguay
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