Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Chesterfield |
25.06% (![]() | 22.18% (![]() | 52.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.85% (![]() | 38.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.57% (![]() | 60.42% (![]() |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% (![]() | 28.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% (![]() | 63.85% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.41% (![]() | 14.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.34% (![]() | 42.66% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 6.35% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 3.56% Total : 25.06% | 1-1 @ 10.02% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 9.65% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.61% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 40 | 28 | 7 | 5 | 84 | 33 | 51 | 91 |
2 | York City | 40 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 80 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 40 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 75 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 40 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 66 |
5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 40 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 63 |
6 | Rochdale | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 60 |
7 | Gateshead | 40 | 17 | 9 | 14 | 67 | 57 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 40 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 59 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 60 | 51 | 9 | 57 |
10 | Tamworth | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 57 |
11 | Eastleigh | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 53 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 40 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 52 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 52 |
14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 51 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 50 |
16 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 48 |
17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 48 |
18 | Woking | 39 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 45 |
19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 43 |
20 | Boston UnitedBoston | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 43 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 48 | 67 | -19 | 42 |
22 | Fylde | 39 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 39 |
23 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 38 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 40 | 2 | 13 | 25 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 19 |
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