National League | Gameweek 32

Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh
1 - 3
Chesterfield

Maguire (90+6' pen.)
McCallum (41'), Maguire (45+5')
McCallum (45')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Berry (38'), Mandeville (85'), Grigg (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Altrincham 4-0 Eastleigh
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Chesterfield

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-0 Southend
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	Chesterfield
25.06% ( -0.38)	22.18% ( 0.06)	52.76% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 61.35% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.85% (

-0.63)

38.15% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.57% (

-0.67)

60.42% (

0.67)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83% (

-0.62)

28.17% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.14% (

-0.79)

63.85% (

0.8)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.41% (

-0.12)

14.58% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.34% (

-0.22)

42.66% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 25.06%

Chesterfield 52.76%

Draw 22.18%

Eastleigh	Draw	Chesterfield
2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.56% Total : 25.06%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.18%	1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 6.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.76%