Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
46.9% (![]() | 22.83% | 30.27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.7% (![]() | 37.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.49% (![]() | 59.5% |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.69% | 16.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.11% (![]() | 45.88% (![]() |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.83% (![]() | 24.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.51% (![]() | 58.49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.2% 1-0 @ 7.15% 2-0 @ 6.48% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.63% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 3.94% 3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-1 @ 5.6% 0-2 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 82 |
2 | York City | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 71 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 68 |
4 | Gateshead | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 60 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 59 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 59 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 56 | 41 | 15 | 55 |
8 | Rochdale | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 52 |
9 | Eastleigh | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 52 |
10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 52 |
11 | Tamworth | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 48 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 47 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 46 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 46 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
16 | Braintree TownBraintree | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
17 | Woking | 35 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 41 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 40 |
19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 36 |
20 | Fylde | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 42 | 67 | -25 | 36 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 35 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 28 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 37 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 26 | 80 | -54 | 14 |
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