UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Jun 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Sweden
1 - 2
Norway

Elanga (90+2')
Krafth (18'), Isak (34'), Svanberg (45'), Kulusevski (90'), Olsen (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Braut Haaland (20' pen., 69')
Holmgren Pedersen (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Sweden and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

Last Six:

Last Game: Sweden 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Norway vs. Sweden
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

Norway

Last Six:

Last Game: Norway 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Norway vs. Sweden
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Serbia	0	0	0
3	Norway	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

As neither side tends to concede too many goals, and this contest comes early in the Nations League process, there is every chance a low-scoring draw will be the result on Sunday. Both teams are well versed at holding more technically-gifted nations at bay, so taking the initiative does not always come easily - though Norway's new generation can be impressively fearless on their day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Norway had a probability of 25.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Norway
48.86% ( -0.13)	25.74% ( 0.03)	25.39% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 49.98% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.68% (

-0.07)

53.31% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.14% (

-0.06)

74.86% (

0.05)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

-0.09)

21.84% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.94% (

-0.13)

55.06% (

0.13)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.94% (

0.05)

36.05% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.16% (

0.05)

72.83% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Sweden 48.86%

Norway 25.39%

Draw 25.74%

Sweden	Draw	Norway
1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.86%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.39%