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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Republic of Ireland national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Aviva Stadium
Greece national football team

Rep. Ireland
0 - 2
Greece


Omobamidele (31'), Knight (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ioannidis (50'), Tzolis (87')
Tsimikas (58'), Tzolis (63'), Siopis (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Republic of Ireland and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-2 England
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League

Greece

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Greece 3-0 Finland
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Republic of Ireland 0-1 Greece

 If Greece want any chance of competing with England for promotion, home and away wins against both Ireland and Finland are likely going to be necessary. The visitors should come in as slight favourites given their impressive win on Saturday and a strong recent record against Ireland, while the hosts will need to pick themselves up after an underwhelming display against England. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
Republic of IrelandDrawGreece
30.22% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 25.85% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 43.93% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01% (0.263 0.26)50.98% (-0.266 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15% (0.231 0.23)72.85% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (0.091999999999999 0.09)31.05% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (0.107 0.11)67.37% (-0.11 -0.11)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (0.176 0.18)23.11% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.03% (0.256 0.26)56.96% (-0.259 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Republic of Ireland 30.22%
    Greece 43.92%
    Draw 25.85%
Republic of IrelandDrawGreece
1-0 @ 8.39% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.91% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 30.22%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 43.92%

How you voted: Rep. Ireland vs Greece

Republic of Ireland
19.6%
Draw
16.4%
Greece
64.0%
189
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Rep. Ireland
0-2
Greece

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Pelkas (56'), Bouchalakis (75')
> Preview
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Greece
2-1
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Collins (27')
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> Preview
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