MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 03:56:43| >> :600:721823:721823:
Slovakia national football team
Nations League | League C
Oct 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Tehelne pole
Sweden national football team

Slovakia
2 - 2
Sweden

Strelec (44', 72')
Vavro (18'), Suslov (51'), Duda (61'), Gyomber (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ayari (25'), Sema (32')
Douglas (40'), Karlstrom (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Slovakia and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Slovakia 2-0 Azerbaijan
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 3-0 Estonia
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Slovakia 1-2 Sweden

Clearly the best two teams in their League C group, these sides could play out a close-fought contest - albeit both will be badly hampered by injuries. Sweden are still searching for identity under new management, but they possess enough attacking talent to beat Slovakia and go clear of the pack with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
SlovakiaDrawSweden
58.01% (-0.847 -0.85) 21.65% (0.355 0.36) 20.33% (0.49 0.49)
Both teams to score 56.73% (-0.405 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.66% (-0.922 -0.92)41.34% (0.922 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.26% (-0.942 -0.94)63.73% (0.942 0.94)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86% (-0.56 -0.56)13.99% (0.559 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.48% (-1.111 -1.11)41.51% (1.11 1.11)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)34.04% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)70.72% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Slovakia 58.01%
    Sweden 20.33%
    Draw 21.64%
SlovakiaDrawSweden
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.199 0.2)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 6.04% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.074 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 10.09% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.196 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.104 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.13% (0.205 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.77% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 20.33%

How you voted: Slovakia vs Sweden

Slovakia
28.1%
Draw
15.0%
Sweden
56.9%
167
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
Sweden
1-0
Slovakia
Forsberg (77' pen.)
Olsson (23')

Dubravka (76'), Duda (80'), Weiss (87')
Oct 16, 2018 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Sweden
1-1
Slovakia
Rusnak (84')
Sabo (36')
rhs 2.0
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