Friendlies 1

Jun 8, 2024 at 5pm UK

Friends Arena

Sweden
0 - 3
Serbia

Hien (49')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Milinkovic-Savic (18'), Mitrovic (60'), Tadic (70')
Milenkovic (45+2'), Pavlovic (45+2'), Lukic (45+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Sweden and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Denmark 2-1 Sweden
Wednesday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Belgium	8	18	20
2	Austria	8	10	19
3	Sweden	8	2	10
4	Azerbaijan	8	-10	7
5	Estonia	8	-20	1

Serbia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Austria 2-1 Serbia
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Denmark	0	0	0
3	Serbia	0	0	0
4	Slovenia	0	0	0

With lethal marksmen at both ends of the field, goals should be a guarantee on Saturday, and Serbia have typically responded well to suffering defeat over the past year. Such an ability to bounce back may not extend to victory on Swedish soil, as Tomasson's side gave Denmark a terrific run for their money and can realistically hope for a score draw, a marked improvement on their Nations League affairs with the Serbians. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Serbia
53.84% ( 0.07)	24.7% ( -0.05)	21.46% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.71% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.19% (

0.17)

52.8% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57% (

0.15)

74.43% (

-0.15)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.44% (

0.1)

19.56% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.52% (

0.16)

51.48% (

-0.15)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.55% (

0.07)

39.44% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.86% (

0.07)

76.14% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Sweden 53.83%

Serbia 21.46%

Draw 24.7%

Sweden	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 53.83%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.7%	0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 21.46%