Not since a 2010 World Cup qualifying affair in 2009 - which Sweden prevailed in 4-1 - have the Blue and Yellow squared off with the Eagles, whose lack of attacking bite could hamper their bid for an immediate reply to their disappointing loss to Chile. Sylvinho's side may have more to play for as they endeavour to build up a head of steam before the Euros, but with Sweden returning to Stockholm soil and also having an extra day to recover, we have faith in Tomasson to mastermind his first win in the manager's chair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 61.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Albania had a probability of 15.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sweden in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sweden.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Albania
61.99% ( 2.2)	22.81% ( -0.91)	15.19% ( -1.29)

Both teams to score 43.39% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.87% (

1.3)

54.12% (

-1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.45% (

1.08)

75.54% (

-1.08)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.96% (

1.26)

17.03% (

-1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.81% (

2.18)

47.18% (

-2.19)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.3% (

-0.98)

47.7% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.99% (

-0.73)

83.01% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Sweden 61.98%

Albania 15.19%

Draw 22.81%

Sweden	Draw	Albania
1-0 @ 14.38% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.25) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.47% Total : 61.98%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.81%	0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.19%