MX23RW : Monday, December 30 20:15:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Newry City AFC
0 - 4
Crusaders


Healy (12'), McKeown (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kennedy (4'), Larmour (29'), Lecky (58', 76')
Clarke (41'), Joe Burns (55'), Lowry (60')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 1-3 Newry City AFC
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 9-0 Carrick
Tuesday, August 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 12.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.64%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Newry City AFCDrawCrusaders
12.9% (0.204 0.2) 20.03% (0.224 0.22) 67.06% (-0.429 -0.43)
Both teams to score 45.8% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.48500000000001 -0.49)47.64% (0.483 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.16% (-0.449 -0.45)69.84% (0.44799999999999 0.45)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.81% (0.025000000000006 0.03)47.19% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.37% (0.023 0.02)82.63% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.73% (-0.274 -0.27)13.27% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.93% (-0.556 -0.56)40.07% (0.554 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Newry City AFC 12.9%
    Crusaders 67.06%
    Draw 20.03%
Newry City AFCDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 4.7% (0.098 0.1)
2-1 @ 3.57% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 1.77% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 12.9%
1-1 @ 9.5% (0.101 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 20.03%
0-2 @ 12.77%
0-1 @ 12.64% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 8.6% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.46% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-4 @ 4.34% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-4 @ 3.26% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.75% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.32% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 67.06%

Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Crusaders
3-1
Newry City AFC
Ebbe (31'), Owens (63'), Forsythe (80')
Carville (77' pen.)
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crusaders
4-0
Newry City AFC
Heatley (7'), Lowry (41', 76'), Joe Burns (61')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Newry City AFC
1-2
Crusaders
Hughes (21')
(27')
Lowry (64'), Larmour (67')
(40'), (53'), (58')
Jan 11, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Newry City AFC
0-1
Crusaders
Cushley (6')
Nov 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Newry City AFC
0-3
Crusaders
Patterson (49'), Heatley (78', 95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield22153440162448
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2311392926336
3GlentoranGlentoran2210572620635
4PortadownPortadown2110472821734
5CliftonvilleCliftonville219482823531
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena21101102727031
7CrusadersCrusaders219392627-130
8ColeraineColeraine217683432227
9LarneLarne167541712526
10GlenavonGlenavon2257101930-1122
11Carrick RangersCarrick2055102030-1020
12Loughgall2234152353-3013


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