MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 03:19:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
3 - 2
Gdansk

Silva (13'), Imaz (71'), Skrzypczak (75' pen.)
Sacek (84'), Moutinho (90+5'), Kubicki (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
V'Yunnik (16'), Khlan (59')
Olsson (46'), V'Yunnik (69')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Lechia Gdansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 5-0 Jagiellonia
Saturday, September 14 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gdansk 1-0 Radomiak Radom
Saturday, September 14 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawLechia Gdansk
53.54% (0.061 0.06) 22.7% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 23.76% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 57.96% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (0.086999999999996 0.09)41.95% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.64% (0.085999999999999 0.09)64.35% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (0.051000000000002 0.05)15.66% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.3% (0.096999999999994 0.1)44.7% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (0.016999999999996 0.02)31.27% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)67.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 53.54%
    Lechia Gdansk 23.76%
    Draw 22.7%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawLechia Gdansk
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.8% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 53.54%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 23.76%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan24162646192750
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow24147334142049
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia24146445291648
4Legia WarsawLegia24117646321440
5Pogon SzczecinSzczecin24124836261040
6KS CracoviaCracovia2410864234838
7Gornik ZabrzeGornik2411493229337
8Motor Lublin2410683540-536
9Katowice249693330333
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice248972524133
11Korona Kielce248882330-732
12Radomiak Radom2484123238-628
13Widzew Lodz2476112739-1227
14Stal Mielec2465132534-923
15Puszcza Niepolomice2457122234-1222
16Zaglebie Lubin2464142037-1722
17Lechia GdanskGdansk2456132542-1721
18Slask Wroclaw2429132138-1715


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!