Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Jagiellonia3 - 2Gdansk
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Lechia Gdansk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lech Poznan 5-0 Jagiellonia
Saturday, September 14 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, September 14 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Gdansk 1-0 Radomiak Radom
Saturday, September 14 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, September 14 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
Result | ||
Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
53.54% ( 0.06) | 22.7% ( -0.03) | 23.76% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.96% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.05% ( 0.09) | 41.95% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.64% ( 0.09) | 64.35% ( -0.09) |
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.34% ( 0.05) | 15.66% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.3% ( 0.1) | 44.7% ( -0.1) |
Lechia Gdansk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.73% ( 0.02) | 31.27% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.37% ( 0.02) | 67.62% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Jagiellonia Bialystok 53.54%
Lechia Gdansk 23.76%
Draw 22.7%
Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 23.76% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-18 05:08:22
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Lech Poznan | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Rakow CzestochowaRakow | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 36 |
3 | Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 35 |
4 | Legia WarsawLegia | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 32 |
5 | KS CracoviaCracovia | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Gornik ZabrzeGornik | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 30 |
7 | Motor Lublin | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 28 |
8 | Pogon SzczecinSzczecin | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 27 |
9 | Widzew Lodz | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Katowice | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
12 | Radomiak Radom | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Stal Mielec | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 |
14 | Zaglebie Lubin | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 19 |
15 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
16 | Korona Kielce | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
17 | Lechia GdanskGdansk | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
18 | Slask Wroclaw | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 10 |
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