MX23RW : Thursday, October 10 23:07:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Sep 14, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion MOS Poznan

Lech Poznan
5 - 0
Jagiellonia

Sousa (25'), Hotic (41'), Szymczak (81' pen.), Haliti (87' og.), Jagiello (90+3')
Milic (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nene (42'), Haliti (79')
Dieguez (38')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-2 Lech Poznan
Friday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-0 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, September 1 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
57.25% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 21.96% (0.00099999999999767 0) 20.78% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.35% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.83% (-0.07 -0.07)42.16% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.43% (-0.07 -0.07)64.56% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)14.51% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.48% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)42.51% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)34.08% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)70.76% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 57.25%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 20.78%
    Draw 21.96%
Lech PoznanDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.54% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.93% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.86% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 57.25%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.96%
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 20.78%

Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 21
Jagiellonia
1-2
Lech Poznan
Marchwinski (18'), Szymczak (30' pen.)
Velde (14'), Pereira (90+7')
Oct 24, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Lech Poznan
3-3
Jagiellonia
Ba Loua (2', 51'), Ishak (43')
Ba Loua (48'), Marchwinski (55'), Andersson (64'), Velde (90+7'), Czerwinski (90+5')
Normann Hansen (54'), Skrzypczak (66'), Wdowik (90+6' pen.)
Romanczuk (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
49ers
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan118122171425
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow117221541123
3KS CracoviaCracovia117222215723
4Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia117131817122
5Pogon SzczecinSzczecin116141713419
6Legia WarsawLegia114431812616
7Widzew Lodz114431312116
8Katowice114341813515
9Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice114341010015
10Motor Lublin114341013-315
11Zaglebie Lubin11425814-614
12Gornik ZabrzeGornik113351314-112
13Korona Kielce11335916-712
14Stal Mielec10325811-311
15Radomiak Radom103071418-49
16Lechia GdanskGdansk112361321-89
17Puszcza Niepolomice111551019-98
18Slask Wroclaw9045917-84


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