Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.