Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 67.36%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.