MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 17:48:25| >> :600:1269684:1269684:
Newport County
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 1
Saints U21s

Bogle (11' pen.), Waite (60')
Moriah-Welsh (38'), Lewis (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bellis (76')
Wright (10'), Payne (18'), Lancashire (27'), Turner (43'), Merry (71')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Newport County and Southampton Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Newport
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Saints U21s 2-0 Aston Villa U21s
Saturday, October 8 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 12.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Southampton Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawSouthampton Under-21s
69.36% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 18.56% (0.0010000000000012 0) 12.09%
Both teams to score 48.1% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77%43.23% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37%65.63% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.67% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)11.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64%36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.24% (0.00099999999999767 0)45.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)81.54% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 69.36%
    Southampton Under-21s 12.09%
    Draw 18.56%
Newport CountyDrawSouthampton Under-21s
2-0 @ 12.29%
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 9.61%
3-0 @ 8.93%
3-1 @ 6.98%
4-0 @ 4.86%
4-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.73%
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.65%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 69.36%
1-1 @ 8.83%
0-0 @ 5.18%
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 18.56%
0-1 @ 4.05%
1-2 @ 3.45%
0-2 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 12.09%

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