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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Brentford
2 - 0
Bournemouth

Toney (39' pen.), Jensen (75')
Raya (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neto (38')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford move up into eighth in the Premier League after beating Bournemouth 2-0.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.

Result
BrentfordDrawBournemouth
55.93% (0.211 0.21) 23.16% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04) 20.91% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 52.59% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.25% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)69.48% (0.012 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (0.067999999999998 0.07)16.72% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.38% (0.125 0.13)46.62% (-0.127 -0.13)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (-0.177 -0.18)36.85% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (-0.174 -0.17)73.63% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 55.92%
    Bournemouth 20.91%
    Draw 23.16%
BrentfordDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.85% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 55.92%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 20.91%

How you voted: Brentford vs Bournemouth

Brentford
84.8%
Draw
9.3%
Bournemouth
6.0%
151
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
May 22, 2021 12.30pm
Brentford
3-1
Bournemouth
Toney (16' pen.), Janelt (50'), Forss (81')
Toney (17'), Jansson (78'), Dalsgaard (90+1')
Danjuma (5')
Begovic (17'), Lerma (45+5'), Stacey (90+3')
Mepham (28')
May 17, 2021 6pm
Apr 24, 2021 12.30pm
Bournemouth
0-1
Brentford

Lerma (68')
Mbeumo (77')
Jansson (25'), Forss (68'), Toney (80'), Janelt (87')
Jansson (50')
Dec 30, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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