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FA Cup
Brentford logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
West Ham logo

Brentford
0 - 1
West Ham


Wissa (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Benrahma (79')
Dawson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Brentford and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions
Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Liverpool
Monday, January 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League

West Ham United

All competitions
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 West Ham
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

We said: Brentford 1-2 West Ham United

 While Brentford are classed as the clear favourites for this fixture, the prospect of changes being made should lead to a tight contest. With that in mind, we feel that the Hammers may edge this game, earning a result which could buy Moyes some time in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawWest Ham United
31.68% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 24.39% (0.012 0.01) 43.93% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.6% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)44% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)66.39% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)26.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)61.81% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)20.17% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)52.46% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 31.68%
    West Ham United 43.93%
    Draw 24.39%
BrentfordDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.68%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 43.93%

How you voted: Brentford vs West Ham

Brentford
68.0%
Draw
11.5%
West Ham United
20.5%
122
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
West Ham
0-2
Brentford

Coufal (70')
Toney (18'), Dasilva (43')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Brentford
2-0
West Ham
Mbeumo (48'), Toney (64')

Antonio (66')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
West Ham
1-2
Brentford
Bowen (80')
Zouma (35'), Rice (90+2')
Mbeumo (20'), Wissa (90+4')
Norgaard (69'), Canos (84'), Jorgensen (85')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Brentford
0-1
West Ham
Benrahma (65')
Aug 29, 2020 2pm
Pre-season Friendlies
West Ham
2-1
Brentford
Yarmolenko (5'), Soucek (61')
Forss (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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