Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.