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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Liverpool logo

Southampton
4 - 4
Liverpool

Ward-Prowse (19'), Deen Sulemana (28', 48'), Armstrong (64')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Jota (10', 73'), Firmino (14'), Gakpo (72')
Tsimikas (25'), Elliott (60')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton and Liverpool both come from two goals down in a madcap 4-4 draw on the final day of the 2022-23 Premier League season.

Team News

Caoimhin Kelleher, Roberto Firmino and James Milner all start for Liverpool against Southampton at St Mary's in their Premier League finale.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League final day clash between Southampton and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Liverpool could line up for their final game of the 2022-23 Premier League season against rock-bottom Southampton at St Mary's.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League fixture against Southampton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLiverpool
15.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 20.12% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 64.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.8% (0.057000000000002 0.06)42.2% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39% (0.058 0.06)64.6% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.17% (0.049999999999997 0.05)39.82% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.51% (0.045000000000002 0.05)76.49% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.56% (0.016999999999996 0.02)12.44% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.64% (0.033999999999999 0.03)38.36% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 15.67%
    Liverpool 64.21%
    Draw 20.12%
SouthamptonDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 4.56% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 15.67%
1-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.12%
0-2 @ 10.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 7.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 6.88% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.9%
1-4 @ 3.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 64.21%

How you voted: Southampton vs Liverpool

Southampton
10.2%
Draw
8.0%
Liverpool
81.8%
88
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Liverpool
3-1
Southampton
Firmino (6'), Nunez (21', 42')
Adams (9')
Caleta-Car (5')
May 17, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 37
Southampton
1-2
Liverpool
Redmond (13')
Tella (69'), Stephens (74')
Minamino (27'), Matip (67')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
gameweek 13
Liverpool
4-0
Southampton
Jota (2', 32'), Alcantara (37'), Van Dijk (52')

Bednarek (11')
May 8, 2021 8.15pm
gameweek 35
Liverpool
2-0
Southampton
Mane (31'), Alcantara (90')

Redmond (61')
Jan 4, 2021 8pm
gameweek 17
Southampton
1-0
Liverpool
Ings (2')
Bertrand (90+3')

Alcantara (3'), Robertson (15'), Shaqiri (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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