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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Southampton logo

Newcastle
3 - 2
Southampton

Willock (16'), Almiron (26', 45+4')
Hendrick (11'), Krafth (45+3')
Hendrick (50')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Minamino (30'), Ward-Prowse (48')
Bednarek (73')

The Match

Match Report

The Magpies had Jeff Hendrick sent off and lost Fabian Schar to injury.

Team News

Loan signing Joe Willock could make his Magpies debut against Southampton, who could call on Oriol Romeu, Jannik Vestergaard and Takumi Minamino.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawSouthampton
37.33%25.46%37.2%
Both teams to score 56.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.23%47.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.04%69.96%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95%25.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27%59.73%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.87%25.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17%59.83%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 37.33%
    Southampton 37.2%
    Draw 25.46%
Newcastle UnitedDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 8.71%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.03%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.96%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 37.33%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.29%
2-2 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 0.96%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.2%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Southampton

Newcastle United
34.5%
Draw
33.6%
Southampton
31.9%
113
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 8
Southampton
2-0
Newcastle
Adams (7'), Armstrong (82')
Romeu (27')

Fernandez (43'), Longstaff (90')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Apr 20, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Newcastle
3-1
Southampton
Perez (27', 31', 86')
Lemina (59')
Ward-Prowse (23'), Romeu (62')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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