Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 22.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | West Ham United |
54.83% (![]() | 22.26% (![]() | 22.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.43% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.16% (![]() | 40.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.77% (![]() | 63.23% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% (![]() | 14.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.84% (![]() | 43.15% (![]() |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.62% (![]() | 31.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.25% (![]() | 67.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | West Ham United |
2-1 @ 9.82% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.89% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.48% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3% Total : 54.83% | 1-1 @ 10.29% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 5.97% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 22.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 29 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 70 |
2 | Arsenal | 29 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 53 | 24 | 29 | 58 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 54 |
4 | Chelsea | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 49 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 48 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 47 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 47 |
8 | Fulham | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 45 |
9 | Aston Villa | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Bournemouth | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
11 | Brentford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 41 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 39 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 37 |
14 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 34 |
15 | Everton | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 34 |
16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 29 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 62 | -34 | 17 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 17 |
20 | Southampton | 29 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 21 | 70 | -49 | 9 |
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