Aston Villa

1 - 0

Zrinjski Mostar

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Zrinjski Mostar had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.