UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 4
Aston Villa

Sadiq (65')
Mijnans (19'), Clasie (44'), Bazoer (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bailey (13'), Tielemans (23'), Watkins (51'), McGinn (56')
Lenglet (45+1'), Bailey (86')

Unai Emery hails Aston Villa's 'maturity' after win over AZ Alkmaar

Unai Emery hails the maturity of his Aston Villa players after they cruised to a 4-1 victory away at AZ Alkmaar in the Europa Conference League on Thursday evening.

Oct 26, 21:07

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: AZ 3-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, October 21 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Aston Villa 4-1 West Ham
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Aston Villa
60.66% ( -0.16)	20.86% ( 0.06)	18.47% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 56.14% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.44% (

-0.13)

40.56% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.06% (

-0.14)

62.94% (

0.14)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.05% (

-0.09)

12.95% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.58% (

-0.18)

39.41% (

0.18)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.49% (

0.02)

35.51% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.72% (

0.03)

72.27% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 60.66%

Aston Villa 18.47%

Draw 20.86%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.49% Total : 60.66%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.86%	1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 18.47%