Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.21%) and 0-3 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica |
10.45% (![]() | 16.71% (![]() | 72.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.8% (![]() | 39.2% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.46% (![]() | 61.53% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.95% | 46.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.24% | 81.76% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.62% (![]() | 9.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.43% (![]() | 31.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 3.35% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.79% Total : 10.45% | 1-1 @ 7.93% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.83% Total : 16.71% | 0-2 @ 12.09% 0-1 @ 10.21% 0-3 @ 9.54% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.81% Total : 72.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |