Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
30.21% (![]() | 25.16% (![]() | 44.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.96% (![]() | 48.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.79% (![]() | 70.21% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.44% (![]() | 29.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.41% (![]() | 65.59% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.47% (![]() | 21.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.4% (![]() | 54.59% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 7.76% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.33% Total : 30.21% | 1-1 @ 11.91% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 9.78% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |