Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 85.19%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 4.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.91%) and 1-0 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.04%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (1.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Santa Clara |
85.19% ( -0) | 10.79% ( 0) | 4.02% |
Both teams to score 35.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.17% ( -0) | 36.83% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41% ( -0) | 59% ( 0) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.84% ( -0) | 6.16% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.68% | 23.32% ( 0) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
37.42% | 62.58% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.09% | 91.91% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Santa Clara |
2-0 @ 14.97% 3-0 @ 13.91% 1-0 @ 10.74% 4-0 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 6.52% 5-0 @ 5.4% 4-1 @ 4.54% 5-1 @ 2.53% 6-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.53% 6-1 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.07% 7-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.58% Total : 85.19% | 1-1 @ 5.04% 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0) 2-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 10.79% | 0-1 @ 1.81% 1-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.03% Total : 4.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |