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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Estoril

Benfica
1 - 0
Estoril

Otamendi (44')
Otamendi (60'), Grimaldo (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lea Siliki (90+4'), Geraldes (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-3 Benfica
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Portimonense
Saturday, April 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 4-1 Estoril Praia

This clash provides Benfica with the ideal opportunity to return to winning ways and reignite their title charge, so we expect the Eagles to soar to a comfortable victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.62%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 6.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 4-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
82.62% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04) 11.22% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 6.16% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.44% (-0.643 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.06% (-0.60199999999999 -0.6)26.94% (0.6 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.58% (-0.766 -0.77)47.42% (0.763 0.76)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.23% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)4.77% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.71% (-0.354 -0.35)19.29% (0.351 0.35)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.97% (-0.609 -0.61)47.03% (0.608 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.49% (-0.465 -0.47)82.51% (0.462 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 82.61%
    Estoril Praia 6.16%
    Draw 11.22%
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
3-0 @ 10.53% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 10.38% (0.22 0.22)
4-0 @ 8.01% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.034 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.83% (0.198 0.2)
4-1 @ 6.04% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
5-0 @ 4.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.063 -0.06)
6-0 @ 2.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
6-1 @ 1.87% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.39% (-0.052 -0.05)
7-0 @ 1.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 82.61%
1-1 @ 5.15% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.24% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 11.22%
1-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.69% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 6.16%

How you voted: Benfica vs Estoril

Benfica
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Estoril Praia
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 8.45pm
Fourth Round
Estoril
0-1
Benfica

Ndiaye (16')
Neres (66')
Nov 6, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 12
Estoril
1-5
Benfica
Serginho (90+1')
Musa (25'), Silva (30', 40'), Mario (67'), Ristic (89')
Mar 20, 2022 6pm
gameweek 27
Benfica
2-1
Estoril
Silva (34'), Ramos (53')
Weigl (29')
Franco (90+3')
Acevedo (10'), Joaozinho (81')
Oct 30, 2021 7pm
gameweek 10
Estoril
1-1
Benfica
Rosier (90')
Lourenco (42'), Africo (54'), Geraldes (90+4')
Verissimo (2')
Radonjic (55'), Verissimo (75')
Mar 4, 2021 8.15pm
Semi-Finals
Benfica
2-0
Estoril
Ramos (43'), Waldschmidt (90')
Tavares (29'), Pizzi (30')

Thierry Lazare (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2581072826234
10Rio AveRio Ave2578102740-1329
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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