Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense0 - 0Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Moreirense
Saturday, November 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, November 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Benfica 3-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Moreirense 1-2 Benfica
Three of the last four meetings between the sides have seen Moreirense hold Benfica to 1-1 draws, as the visitors have only won four of the last nine head-to-heads, despite the gulf in stature between the sides. Another close encounter is in the offing given Moreirense's ability at stifling the opposition, but Benfica should have just enough to claim three points and remain top of the pile. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Moreirense win it was 2-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
20.02% ( 1.29) | 21.58% ( 0.25) | 58.39% ( -1.55) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( 1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
