Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 76.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 8.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 3-0 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Portimonense |
76.06% (![]() | 15.74% (![]() | 8.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.97% (![]() | 42.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.56% (![]() | 64.43% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.68% (![]() | 9.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.56% (![]() | 31.43% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.26% (![]() | 52.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.52% (![]() | 86.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Portimonense |
2-0 @ 13.83% 1-0 @ 11.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 10.94% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.86% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.01% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.49% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.24% 5-1 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.33% 6-0 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 3.26% Total : 76.04% | 1-1 @ 7.46% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.53% Total : 15.74% | 0-1 @ 3.15% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 1.66% Total : 8.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |