Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.