Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
36.37% ( 0.15) | 27.83% ( 0.01) | 35.8% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 48.31% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.38% ( -0.05) | 57.62% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.61% ( -0.04) | 78.39% ( 0.04) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.68% ( 0.07) | 30.32% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.5% ( 0.08) | 66.5% ( -0.08) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.33% ( -0.13) | 30.67% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.08% ( -0.16) | 66.92% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.36% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 35.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
5 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |