Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 11, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Otkrytiye Arena
Spartak Moscow1 - 0Krasnodar
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and FC Krasnodar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krasnodar 0-1 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
Result | ||
Spartak Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
44.78% ( -0.04) | 23.75% ( 0.01) | 31.47% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 60.78% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.89% ( -0.02) | 41.1% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.5% ( -0.02) | 63.49% ( 0.02) |
Spartak Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.37% ( -0.03) | 18.63% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.06% ( -0.04) | 49.93% ( 0.04) |
FC Krasnodar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.69% ( 0.01) | 25.3% ( -0.01) |