Scottish Championship | Gameweek 29

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

New Douglas Park

Hamilton
0 - 2
Ayr

FT(HT: 0-2)

Dempsey (12' pen.), Ashford (27')
McAlear (30'), McAllister (45')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Hamilton Academical and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Hamilton 0-0 Arbroath
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Falkirk 2-1 Ayr
Monday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Hamilton Academical	Draw	Ayr United
38.63% ( -0.09)	24.7% ( 0.1)	36.67% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.83% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.72% (

-0.48)

44.28% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.35% (

-0.47)

66.65% (

0.47)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.21% (

-0.26)

22.79% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.51% (

-0.39)

56.49% (

0.39)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.19% (

-0.23)

23.82% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.02% (

-0.32)

57.99% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Hamilton Academical 38.63%

Ayr United 36.67%

Draw 24.7%

Hamilton Academical	Draw	Ayr United
2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.63%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7%	1-2 @ 8.26% 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 36.67%