Scottish Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir
1 - 3
Livingston

Jamieson (26')
Yates (44'), Wedderburn (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pittman (52'), Bradley (55', 59')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Stenhousemuir and Livingston.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions

Last Game: East Fife 1-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Goals
for

Livingston

All competitions

Last Game: St Johnstone 2-4 Livingston
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
Stenhousemuir	Draw	Livingston
24.24% ( -0.04)	22.15% ( -0)	53.61% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 60.47% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.1% (

-0.03)

38.9% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.78% (

-0.03)

61.22% (

0.03)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.78% (

-0.05)

29.22% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.83% (

-0.06)

65.17% (

0.06)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.43% (

14.57% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.36% (

0.01)

42.64% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Stenhousemuir 24.24%

Livingston 53.61%

Draw 22.14%

Stenhousemuir	Draw	Livingston
2-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.24% 2-0 @ 3.22% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 24.24%	1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.14%	1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.61%