Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Stenhousemuir and Livingston.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: East Fife 1-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-4 Livingston
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Livingston |
24.24% ( -0.04) | 22.15% ( -0) | 53.61% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.47% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
