MX23RW : Friday, November 22 15:46:16| >> :600:480150:480150:
Ayr United
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Stenhousemuir

Ayr
1 - 0
Stenhousemuir

McKenzie (27')
Murdoch (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Ayr United and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stirling 1-1 Ayr (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 15.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawStenhousemuir
64.28% (-0.474 -0.47) 19.73% (0.279 0.28) 15.99% (0.192 0.19)
Both teams to score 54.79% (-0.547 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.19% (-0.933 -0.93)39.81% (0.932 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.83% (-0.976 -0.98)62.16% (0.974 0.97)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.29% (-0.401 -0.4)11.7% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.19% (-0.867 -0.87)36.81% (0.864 0.86)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.05% (-0.337 -0.34)37.95% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.28% (-0.326 -0.33)74.72% (0.32299999999999 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 64.28%
    Stenhousemuir 15.99%
    Draw 19.74%
Ayr UnitedDrawStenhousemuir
2-0 @ 10.22% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.259 0.26)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.08% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.92% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.8% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 64.28%
1-1 @ 9.23% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.189 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.74%
1-2 @ 4.47% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.3% (0.146 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 15.99%

How you voted: Ayr vs Stenhousemuir

Ayr United
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Stenhousemuir
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Ayr
5-0
Stenhousemuir
Shankland (2', 8', 46'), Moffat (41', 86')

Johnson (23'), Cook (56'), Garcia Tena (58')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
Stenhousemuir
0-4
Ayr

Beith (58'), Meechan (62')
Donald (1'), Moore (47'), Preston (79' pen., 88')
Murphy (52'), Docherty (92')
Mar 8, 2016 7.45pm
Ayr
4-1
Stenhousemuir
Moore (65'), Malcolm (77' og.), Stevenson (84'), Trouten (92')
Devlin (5'), Adams (43')
McCormack (69')
Summers (21'), Cook (54'), Meechan (59'), Gilhaney (91'), McCormack (93')
Cook (73')
Oct 24, 2015 3pm
Stenhousemuir
0-1
Ayr

Murray (90')
Robertson (89')
Caldwell (9')
Sep 1, 2015 7.45pm
Ayr
5-2
Stenhousemuir
Preston (3', 47'), Moore (26'), Barclay (35' og.), Caldwell (86')
Docherty (65'), McLauchlan (79')
Murray (17'), McCroary (88')
Malcolm (26')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!