MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 03:27:24| >> :600:7177723:7177723:
Ayr United
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Stenhousemuir

Ayr
1 - 0
Stenhousemuir

McKenzie (27')
Murdoch (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Ayr United and Stenhousemuir.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stirling 1-1 Ayr (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 15.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawStenhousemuir
64.28% (-0.474 -0.47) 19.73% (0.279 0.28) 15.99% (0.192 0.19)
Both teams to score 54.79% (-0.547 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.19% (-0.933 -0.93)39.81% (0.932 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.83% (-0.976 -0.98)62.16% (0.974 0.97)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.29% (-0.401 -0.4)11.7% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.19% (-0.867 -0.87)36.81% (0.864 0.86)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.05% (-0.337 -0.34)37.95% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.28% (-0.326 -0.33)74.72% (0.32299999999999 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 64.28%
    Stenhousemuir 15.99%
    Draw 19.74%
Ayr UnitedDrawStenhousemuir
2-0 @ 10.22% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.259 0.26)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.08% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.92% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.8% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 64.28%
1-1 @ 9.23% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.189 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.74%
1-2 @ 4.47% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.3% (0.146 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 15.99%

How you voted: Ayr vs Stenhousemuir

Ayr United
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Stenhousemuir
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Ayr
5-0
Stenhousemuir
Shankland (2', 8', 46'), Moffat (41', 86')

Johnson (23'), Cook (56'), Garcia Tena (58')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
Stenhousemuir
0-4
Ayr

Beith (58'), Meechan (62')
Donald (1'), Moore (47'), Preston (79' pen., 88')
Murphy (52'), Docherty (92')
Mar 8, 2016 7.45pm
Ayr
4-1
Stenhousemuir
Moore (65'), Malcolm (77' og.), Stevenson (84'), Trouten (92')
Devlin (5'), Adams (43')
McCormack (69')
Summers (21'), Cook (54'), Meechan (59'), Gilhaney (91'), McCormack (93')
Cook (73')
Oct 24, 2015 3pm
Stenhousemuir
0-1
Ayr

Murray (90')
Robertson (89')
Caldwell (9')
Sep 1, 2015 7.45pm
Ayr
5-2
Stenhousemuir
Preston (3', 47'), Moore (26'), Barclay (35' og.), Caldwell (86')
Docherty (65'), McLauchlan (79')
Murray (17'), McCroary (88')
Malcolm (26')
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