Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 76%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 9.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 3-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.11%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-2 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.