Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Dumbarton	Draw	Spartans
36.59% ( 4.67)	24.96% ( 0.22)	38.45% ( -4.89)

Both teams to score 57.9% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.53% (

0.02)

45.46% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.2% (

0.02)

67.8% (

-0.02)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6% (

2.76)

24.4% (

-2.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.18% (

3.74)

58.82% (

-3.75)

Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59% (

-2.37)

23.41% (

2.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.6% (

-3.56)

57.4% (

3.55)

Score Analysis

Dumbarton 36.59%

Spartans 38.45%

Draw 24.95%

Dumbarton	Draw	Spartans
2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.68) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.61) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.83) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.59) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.56) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.25) Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.59%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95%	1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.55) 0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.62) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.92) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.59) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.69) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.34) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.35) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.45%