Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 42.45%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.18%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.