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Serie A
Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Atalanta logo

Salernitana
1 - 2
Atalanta

Tchaouna (18')
Pasalidis (45'), Pasalidis (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Scamacca (57'), Koopmeiners (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Last Game: Frosinone 3-0 Salernitana
Friday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Atalanta
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Salernitana 1-3 Atalanta BC

 Atalanta are hitting peak form as a long season nears its end, and even if they field a less familiar starting XI, the visitors are likely to leave Stadio Arechi victorious. Salernitana are Serie B-bound, and they may struggle to get any more points on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawAtalanta BC
20.17% (1.059 1.06) 22.88% (1.009 1.01) 56.95% (-2.065 -2.07)
Both teams to score 52.38% (-1.516 -1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.02% (-2.885 -2.89)46.99% (2.889 2.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.77% (-2.749 -2.75)69.23% (2.753 2.75)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (-0.549 -0.55)37.45% (0.552 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (-0.544 -0.54)74.23% (0.54899999999999 0.55)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.74% (-1.67 -1.67)16.27% (1.673 1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.2% (-3.123 -3.12)45.81% (3.127 3.13)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 20.17%
    Atalanta BC 56.94%
    Draw 22.87%
SalernitanaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 5.98% (0.614 0.61)
2-1 @ 5.34% (0.185 0.19)
2-0 @ 2.94% (0.263 0.26)
3-1 @ 1.75% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 20.17%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.53 0.53)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.706 0.71)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.87%
0-1 @ 11.06% (0.7 0.7)
0-2 @ 10.04% (0.068 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.08% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-3 @ 5.97% (-0.406 -0.41)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-4 @ 2.76% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.357 -0.36)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-5 @ 1% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.196 -0.2)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 56.94%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Atalanta

Salernitana
15.0%
Draw
8.3%
Atalanta BC
76.7%
120
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Atalanta
4-1
Salernitana
Muriel (47'), Pasalic (52'), De Ketelaere (83'), Miranchuk (89')
Piero Gasperini (41'), Ruggeri (77')
Pirola (10')
Pirola (40'), Maggiore (64')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Salernitana
1-0
Atalanta
Candreva (90+3')
Lovato (59'), Coulibaly (76')

Scalvini (49'), de Roon (60')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
8-2
Salernitana
Boga (5'), Lookman (20' pen., 54'), Scalvini (23'), Koopmeiners (38'), Hojlund (41'), Ederson (61'), Zortea (85')
Dia (10'), Nicolussi (56')
> Preview
May 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Atalanta
1-1
Salernitana
Pasalic (88')
Demiral (37'), Luis Palomino (38'), Freuler (90')
Ederson (27')
Djuric (38'), Verdi (58')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Salernitana
0-1
Atalanta

Djuric (45'), Ranieri (60'), Obi (73'), Jaroszynski (86')
Zapata (75')
Maehle (16'), Toloi (38'), Demiral (45'), Malinovskyi (56')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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