Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 14, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio El Madrigal

Villarreal
2 - 2
Atalanta

Trigueros (39'), Danjuma (73')
Capoue (55'), Moreno (65'), Pino (71'), Coquelin (76')
Coquelin (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Freuler (6'), Gosens (83')
de Roon (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Villarreal and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Atalanta BC
36.54%	28.62%	34.84%

Both teams to score 45.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.49%

60.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.38%

80.62%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.34%

31.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.92%

68.07%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.23%

32.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68%

69.32%

Score Analysis

Villarreal 36.53%

Atalanta BC 34.83%

Draw 28.61%

Villarreal	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 6.86% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.53%	1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.61%	0-1 @ 11.57% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.83%