Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
45.47% ( 0.01) | 23.98% ( 0) | 30.55% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.49% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.41% ( -0.01) | 42.59% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35% ( -0.01) | 64.99% ( 0.01) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.06% | 18.94% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.55% | 50.45% ( 0) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.39% ( -0.01) | 26.61% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.16% ( -0.01) | 61.84% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.34% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |