Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina1 - 2AC Milan
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 M. Haifa
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Fiorentina 2-2 AC Milan
Only one of the last 12 league matches between Fiorentina and Milan have ended in a draw, but that could be the outcome this weekend. The Viola will come up just shy of recording three straight home wins over the Rossoneri for a first time since the 1970s, but even one point would be welcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
45.47% ( 0.01) | 23.98% ( 0) | 30.55% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.41% ( -0.01) | 42.59% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35% ( -0.01) | 64.99% ( 0.01) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% | 18.94% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.55% | 50.45% ( 0) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.39% ( -0.01) | 26.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.16% ( -0.01) | 61.84% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Fiorentina 45.47%
AC Milan 30.55%
Draw 23.98%
| Fiorentina | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.34% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.55% |
How you voted: Fiorentina vs AC Milan
Fiorentina
22.1%Draw
18.2%AC Milan
59.7%154
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 7.45pm
Nov 13, 2022 5pm
Nov 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Fiorentina
4-3
AC Milan
Form Guide
