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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Lazio
0 - 0
Napoli


Romagnoli (55'), Gila (69'), Cataldi (82')
FT

Demme (49'), Skiri Oestigaard (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Lazio
Friday, January 19 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan
Monday, January 22 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

We said: Lazio 1-1 Napoli

Lazio and Napoli have not drawn any of their last 14 Serie A contests, with four wins for the Biancocelesti and 10 for their Neapolitan rivals. A first stalemate since November 2016 could be on the cards, though, as both teams are diminished by absences and may be satisfied with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LazioDrawNapoli
35.1% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07) 28.54% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 36.35% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.17% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76% (0.067 0.07)60.23% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (0.053000000000001 0.05)80.41% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (-0.012 -0.01)32.45% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)68.97% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.091999999999999 0.09)31.64% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.105 0.11)68.05% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 35.1%
    Napoli 36.35%
    Draw 28.53%
LazioDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.1%
1-1 @ 13.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 11.81%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.8% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.35%

How you voted: Lazio vs Napoli

Lazio
58.3%
Draw
28.8%
Napoli
12.9%
139
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Napoli
1-2
Lazio
Zielinski (32')
Garcia (34')
Alberto (30'), Kamada (52')
Zaccagni (26'), Alberto (60'), Sarri (88')
Mar 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Napoli
0-1
Lazio
Vecino (67')
Sep 3, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Zaccagni (4')
Milinkovic-Savic (67'), Anderson (70'), Cataldi (70'), Sarri (90'), Marusic (90+4')
Min-jae (38'), Kvaratskhelia (61')
Spalletti (81')
Feb 27, 2022 7.50pm
Gameweek 27
Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Pedro (88')
Radu (71'), Immobile (79'), Zaccagni (82')
Insigne (62'), Fabian (90+4')
Rui (90+3'), Fabian (90+7')
Nov 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
4-0
Lazio
Zielinski (7'), Mertens (10', 29'), Fabian (85')
Di Lorenzo (78'), Demme (88')

Felipe (13'), Patric (35'), Cataldi (59'), Zaccagni (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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