Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
35.1% ( -0.07) | 28.54% ( -0.02) | 36.35% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 46.17% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.76% ( 0.07) | 60.23% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.58% ( 0.05) | 80.41% ( -0.05) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.55% ( -0.01) | 32.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.03% ( -0.01) | 68.97% ( 0.02) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.35% ( 0.09) | 31.64% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.94% ( 0.11) | 68.05% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.1% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |