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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Lazio
0 - 0
Napoli


Romagnoli (55'), Gila (69'), Cataldi (82')
FT

Demme (49'), Skiri Oestigaard (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Lazio
Friday, January 19 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan
Monday, January 22 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

We said: Lazio 1-1 Napoli

Lazio and Napoli have not drawn any of their last 14 Serie A contests, with four wins for the Biancocelesti and 10 for their Neapolitan rivals. A first stalemate since November 2016 could be on the cards, though, as both teams are diminished by absences and may be satisfied with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LazioDrawNapoli
35.1% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07) 28.54% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 36.35% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.17% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76% (0.067 0.07)60.23% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (0.053000000000001 0.05)80.41% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (-0.012 -0.01)32.45% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)68.97% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.091999999999999 0.09)31.64% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.105 0.11)68.05% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 35.1%
    Napoli 36.35%
    Draw 28.53%
LazioDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.1%
1-1 @ 13.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 11.81%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.8% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.35%

How you voted: Lazio vs Napoli

Lazio
Draw
Napoli
Lazio
58.3%
Draw
28.8%
Napoli
12.9%
139
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Napoli
1-2
Lazio
Zielinski (32')
Garcia (34')
Alberto (30'), Kamada (52')
Zaccagni (26'), Alberto (60'), Sarri (88')
Mar 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Napoli
0-1
Lazio
Vecino (67')
Sep 3, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Zaccagni (4')
Milinkovic-Savic (67'), Anderson (70'), Cataldi (70'), Sarri (90'), Marusic (90+4')
Min-jae (38'), Kvaratskhelia (61')
Spalletti (81')
Feb 27, 2022 7.50pm
Gameweek 27
Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Pedro (88')
Radu (71'), Immobile (79'), Zaccagni (82')
Insigne (62'), Fabian (90+4')
Rui (90+3'), Fabian (90+7')
Nov 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
4-0
Lazio
Zielinski (7'), Mertens (10', 29'), Fabian (85')
Di Lorenzo (78'), Demme (88')

Felipe (13'), Patric (35'), Cataldi (59'), Zaccagni (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli35238455253077
2Inter Milan35228573334074
3Atalanta BCAtalanta35208771314068
4Juventus351615452322063
5Roma35189850321863
6Lazio35189858451363
7Bologna361614654411362
8AC Milan361791058401860
9Fiorentina351781053351859
10Como36139144849-148
11Torino351014113940-144
12Udinese35128153849-1144
13Genoa35912143043-1339
14CagliariCagliari3689193754-1733
15Parma35614154054-1432
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3595213063-3332
17Lecce3569202457-3327
18VeneziaVenezia35414172849-2126
19Empoli35413182755-2825
RMonza3529242563-3815


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