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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lecce logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Lecce

Anderson (58')
Zaccagni (45'), Guendouzi (77'), Vecino (89'), Immobile (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gendrey (45'), Venuti (75'), Ramadani (81'), Pongracic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Roma
Wednesday, January 10 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Cagliari
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-0 Lecce

It is no coincidence that Lazio's improved form has arrived after re-finding last season's defensive steel. As Lecce often lack punch - particularly away from home - the home side should earn some revenge for their opening-day defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
LazioDrawLecce
58.27% (-0.143 -0.14) 24.87% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 16.85% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 41.26% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.13% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)58.88% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.63% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)79.37% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)20.19% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5% (-0.107 -0.11)52.5% (0.107 0.11)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.7% (0.108 0.11)48.3% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.55% (0.081 0.08)83.45% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 58.27%
    Lecce 16.85%
    Draw 24.87%
LazioDrawLecce
1-0 @ 15.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08%
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 58.27%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.31% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 16.85%

How you voted: Lazio vs Lecce

Lazio
73.3%
Draw
15.6%
Lecce
11.1%
45
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Almqvist (85'), Di Francesco (87')
Espeto (68'), Gonzalez (80'), Pongracic (80')
Immobile (26')
Isaksen (71'), Pellegrini (90+4')
May 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Lazio
2-2
Lecce
Immobile (34'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+4')
Oudin (45+2', 51')
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Espeto (57'), Colombo (71')
Immobile (14')
Jul 7, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Nov 10, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 12
Lazio
4-2
Lecce
Correa (30', 80'), Milinkovic-Savic (62'), Immobile (77' pen.)
Leiva (34'), Immobile (67')
Lapadula (40'), La Mantia (85')
Mancosu (4'), Lapadula (59'), Lucioni (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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