Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Lecce |
58.27% ( -0.14) | 24.87% ( 0.05) | 16.85% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 41.26% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.13% ( -0.03) | 58.88% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.63% ( -0.02) | 79.37% ( 0.02) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.81% ( -0.07) | 20.19% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.5% ( -0.11) | 52.5% ( 0.11) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.7% ( 0.11) | 48.3% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.55% ( 0.08) | 83.45% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 15.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |