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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Inter logo

Roma
2 - 4
Inter Milan

Mancini (28'), El Shaarawy (44')
Mancini (47'), Huijsen (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Acerbi (17'), Thuram (49'), Angelino (56' og.), Bastoni (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 4-0 Cagliari
Monday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-2 Inter Milan

Two teams in fine form meet on Saturday evening, when the hosts' new-found confidence will be truly put to the test. Roma (15) and Inter (14) have scored more goals than any other sides in the final 15 minutes of Serie A matches this season, so it could make for an eventful climax. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Roma had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawInter Milan
33.8% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 27.26% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 38.94% (-0.145 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.85% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.39% (-0.205 -0.2)55.61% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.23% (-0.168 -0.17)76.77% (0.167 0.17)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)30.95% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)67.25% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.181 -0.18)27.81% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.229 -0.23)63.4% (0.22900000000001 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Roma 33.79%
    Inter Milan 38.94%
    Draw 27.25%
RomaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.79%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 11.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.94%

How you voted: Roma vs Inter Milan

Roma
22.0%
Draw
14.4%
Inter Milan
63.6%
118
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 10
Inter Milan
1-0
Roma
Thuram (81')
Pavard (33'), Calhanoglu (56'), Bastoni (64')

Mancini (13'), N'Dicka (47'), Paredes (50'), Cristante (68')
May 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 34
Roma
0-2
Inter Milan
Dimarco (33'), Lukaku (74')
Oct 1, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 8
Inter Milan
1-2
Roma
Dimarco (30')
Dybala (39'), Smalling (75')
Apr 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 34
Inter Milan
3-1
Roma
Dumfries (30'), Brozovic (40'), Martinez (52')
Brozovic (45+1'), Calhanoglu (87')
Mkhitaryan (85')
Mancini (36'), Oliveira (79')
Feb 8, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
2-0
Roma
Dzeko (2'), Sanchez (68')

Zaniolo (37'), Mancini (38'), Mourinho (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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